2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 10-14 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for children aged 10-14 in United States

1. 1,704 of 3,672 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 46.41% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,714 of 3,450 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 10 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 222 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,073 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,367 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many children aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,704 of 20,889,839 children aged 10-14 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

1,704 ÷ 20,889,839 = 0.00008 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,716 deaths from Unknown Causes among 313,422,406 children aged 10-14 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,716 ÷ 313,422,406 = 0.00008 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

20,889,839 X 0.00008 = 1,714 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,704 – 1,714 = -10

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,704 ÷ 1,714 = 0.8862

This reveals 10 lives saved and is 88.62% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,908 ÷ 145,899,019 = 0.00007 (5-yr CDR)

20,889,839(2022 pop) X 0.00007 = 1,562 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,704 – 1,562 = 142 or 142 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,704 ÷ 1,562 = 0.9623 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

166,788,858 X 0.00008 = 13,685 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12612 – 13,685 = -1,073 or 1,073 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

12,612 ÷ 13,685 = 0.8215 or a decrease of 18%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.