2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 55-59 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in United States

1. 7,759 of 168,323 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.61% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 8,060 of 153,351 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 301 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 14,972 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,465 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 81,605 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 7,759 of 20,967,014 people aged 55-59 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

7,759 ÷ 20,967,014 = 0.00037 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 104,120 deaths from Unknown Causes among 270,851,784 people aged 55-59 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

104,120 ÷ 270,851,784 = 0.00038 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

20,967,014 X 0.00038 = 8,060 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

7,759 – 8,060 = -301

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

7,759 ÷ 8,060 = 0.9382

This reveals 301 lives saved and is 93.82% of what we expected (a decrease of 6%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

53,569 ÷ 152,784,795 = 0.00035 (5-yr CDR)

20,967,014(2022 pop) X 0.00035 = 7,351 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7,759 – 7,351 = 408 or 408 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

7,759 ÷ 7,351 = 1.0262 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

173,751,809 X 0.00038 = 66,793 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

61328 – 66,793 = -5,465 or 5,465 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

61,328 ÷ 66,793 = 0.8949 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.