2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in British Columbia

1. 398 of 398 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 32% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 298 of 298 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 100 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 665 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 32% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 398 of 400,607 people aged 30-34 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

398 ÷ 400,607 = 0.00099 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,282 deaths from All Causes among 4,415,289 people aged 30-34 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,282 ÷ 4,415,289 = 0.00074 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

400,607 X 0.00074 = 298 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

398 – 298 = 100

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

398 ÷ 298 = 1.3188

This reveals 100 lives lost and is 131.88% of what we expected (an increase of 32%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,435 ÷ 2,516,490 = 0.00097 (5-yr CDR)

400,607(2022 pop) X 0.00097 = 388 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

398 – 388 = 10 or 10 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

398 ÷ 388 = 1.0162 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,917,097 X 0.00074 = 2,168 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2833 – 2,168 = 665 or 665 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,833 ÷ 2,168 = 1.2892 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.