2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Indiana

1. 6,133 of 6,133 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,200 of 5,200 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 933 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,328 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,133 of 433,306 people aged 60-64 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

6,133 ÷ 433,306 = 0.01415 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 55,846 deaths from All Causes among 4,653,209 people aged 60-64 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

55,846 ÷ 4,653,209 = 0.01200 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

433,306 X 0.01200 = 5,200 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,133 – 5,200 = 933

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,133 ÷ 5,200 = 1.1784

This reveals 933 lives lost and is 117.84% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

37,639 ÷ 2,936,584 = 0.01282 (5-yr CDR)

433,306(2022 pop) X 0.01282 = 5,554 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,133 – 5,554 = 579 or 579 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,133 ÷ 5,554 = 1.1034 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,369,890 X 0.01200 = 40,444 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

43772 – 40,444 = 3,328 or 3,328 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

43,772 ÷ 40,444 = 1.0814 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.