2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 50-54 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 50-54 in United States

1. 110,141 of 110,141 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 104,795 of 104,795 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,346 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 22,475 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 110,141 of 20,807,547 people aged 50-54 living in United States died from All Causes.

110,141 ÷ 20,807,547 = 0.00529 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,569,719 deaths from All Causes among 311,676,403 people aged 50-54 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,569,719 ÷ 311,676,403 = 0.00504 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

20,807,547 X 0.00504 = 104,795 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

110,141 – 104,795 = 5,346

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

110,141 ÷ 104,795 = 1.0489

This reveals 5,346 lives lost and is 104.89% of what we expected (an increase of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

763,714 ÷ 148,238,635 = 0.00515 (5-yr CDR)

20,807,547(2022 pop) X 0.00515 = 107,199 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

110,141 – 107,199 = 2,942 or 2,942 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

110,141 ÷ 107,199 = 1.0255 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

169,046,182 X 0.00504 = 851,380 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

873855 – 851,380 = 22,475 or 22,475 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

873,855 ÷ 851,380 = 1.0244 or an increase of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.