2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – Under 1 | Massachusetts, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby girls in their first year of life in Massachusetts

1. 96 of 96 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 115 of 149 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 19 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 53 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 101 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 257 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Massachusetts’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby girls in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 96 of 34,791 baby girls in their first year of life living in Massachusetts died from Unknown Causes.

96 ÷ 34,791 = 0.00276 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 1,821 deaths from Unknown Causes among 550,594 baby girls in their first year of life living in Massachusetts in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,821 ÷ 550,594 = 0.00331 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

34,791 X 0.00331 = 115 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

96 – 115 = -19

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

96 ÷ 115 = 0.8318

This reveals 19 lives saved and is 83.18% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

715 ÷ 240,967 = 0.00297 (5-yr CDR)

34,791(2022 pop) X 0.00297 = 103 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

96 – 103 = -7 or 7 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

96 ÷ 103 = 0.9268 or a decrease of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

275,758 X 0.00331 = 912 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

811 – 912 = -101 or 101 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

811 ÷ 912 = 0.8865 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in Massachusetts in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.