2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Georgia

1. 1,560 of 1,560 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 61% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 964 of 964 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 596 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,565 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 61% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,560 of 769,946 people aged 30-34 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

1,560 ÷ 769,946 = 0.00203 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 12,557 deaths from All Causes among 10,032,759 people aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

12,557 ÷ 10,032,759 = 0.00125 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

769,946 X 0.00125 = 964 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,560 – 964 = 596

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,560 ÷ 964 = 1.6060

This reveals 596 lives lost and is 160.60% of what we expected (an increase of 61%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,222 ÷ 4,996,653 = 0.00165 (5-yr CDR)

769,946(2022 pop) X 0.00165 = 1,267 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,560 – 1,267 = 293 or 293 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,560 ÷ 1,267 = 1.2239 or an increase of 22%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,766,599 X 0.00125 = 7,217 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9782 – 7,217 = 2,565 or 2,565 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,782 ÷ 7,217 = 1.3446 or an increase of 34%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.