2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 65-69 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Canada

1. 1,484 of 26,990 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 5.50% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 363% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 298 of 30,053 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,186 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 3,063 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,641 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 29,256 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 363% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,484 of 2,308,096 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,484 ÷ 2,308,096 = 0.00064 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,632 deaths from Unknown Causes among 20,413,091 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,632 ÷ 20,413,091 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,308,096 X 0.00013 = 298 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,484 – 298 = 1,186

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,484 ÷ 298 = 4.6277

This reveals 1,186 lives lost and is 462.77% of what we expected (an increase of 363%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,312 ÷ 14,402,714 = 0.00023 (5-yr CDR)

2,308,096(2022 pop) X 0.00023 = 531 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,484 – 531 = 953 or 953 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,484 ÷ 531 = 2.6795 or an increase of 168%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

16,710,810 X 0.00013 = 2,155 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4796 – 2,155 = 2,641 or 2,641 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,796 ÷ 2,155 = 2.0657 or an increase of 107%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.