2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Elderly Men And Women – 85-89 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 85-89 in Canada

1. 2,087 of 50,496 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.13% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 72% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,207 of 53,825 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 880 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 3,329 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,471 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 40,520 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 72% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 85-89 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,087 of 530,078 elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

2,087 ÷ 530,078 = 0.00394 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 12,439 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,462,463 elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

12,439 ÷ 5,462,463 = 0.00228 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

530,078 X 0.00228 = 1,207 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,087 – 1,207 = 880

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,087 ÷ 1,207 = 1.7214

This reveals 880 lives lost and is 172.14% of what we expected (an increase of 72%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,571 ÷ 3,504,352 = 0.00245 (5-yr CDR)

530,078(2022 pop) X 0.00245 = 1,296 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,087 – 1,296 = 791 or 791 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,087 ÷ 1,296 = 1.6032 or an increase of 60%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,034,430 X 0.00228 = 9,187 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10658 – 9,187 = 1,471 or 1,471 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,658 ÷ 9,187 = 1.1550 or an increase of 16%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.