2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 65-69 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 65-69 in Canada

1. 475 of 10,873 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.37% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 291% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 110 of 11,908 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 365 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,035 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 792 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 10,554 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 291% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 475 of 1,189,864 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

475 ÷ 1,189,864 = 0.00040 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 972 deaths from Unknown Causes among 10,539,122 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

972 ÷ 10,539,122 = 0.00009 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,189,864 X 0.00009 = 110 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

475 – 110 = 365

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

475 ÷ 110 = 3.9051

This reveals 365 lives lost and is 390.51% of what we expected (an increase of 291%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,110 ÷ 7,410,500 = 0.00015 (5-yr CDR)

1,189,864(2022 pop) X 0.00015 = 178 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

475 – 178 = 297 or 297 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

475 ÷ 178 = 2.4984 or an increase of 150%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

8,600,364 X 0.00009 = 793 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1585 – 793 = 792 or 792 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,585 ÷ 793 = 1.8028 or an increase of 80%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.