2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 70-74 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 70-74 in Canada

1. 537 of 14,096 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.81% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 202% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 168 of 16,153 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 369 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 2,057 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 699 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 15,386 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 202% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 537 of 982,356 elderly women aged 70-74 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

537 ÷ 982,356 = 0.00055 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,493 deaths from Unknown Causes among 8,742,598 elderly women aged 70-74 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,493 ÷ 8,742,598 = 0.00017 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

982,356 X 0.00017 = 168 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

537 – 168 = 369

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

537 ÷ 168 = 3.0239

This reveals 369 lives lost and is 302.39% of what we expected (an increase of 202%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,334 ÷ 5,882,322 = 0.00023 (5-yr CDR)

982,356(2022 pop) X 0.00023 = 223 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

537 – 223 = 314 or 314 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

537 ÷ 223 = 2.3087 or an increase of 131%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

6,864,678 X 0.00017 = 1,172 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1871 – 1,172 = 699 or 699 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,871 ÷ 1,172 = 1.5077 or an increase of 51%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.