2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 75-79 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in Canada

1. 709 of 17,938 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.95% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 160% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 266 of 20,382 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 443 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 2,444 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 833 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 18,774 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 160% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 709 of 734,394 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

709 ÷ 734,394 = 0.00097 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,679 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,401,945 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,679 ÷ 7,401,945 = 0.00036 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

734,394 X 0.00036 = 266 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

709 – 266 = 443

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

709 ÷ 266 = 2.5957

This reveals 443 lives lost and is 259.57% of what we expected (an increase of 160%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,906 ÷ 4,190,508 = 0.00045 (5-yr CDR)

734,394(2022 pop) X 0.00045 = 334 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

709 – 334 = 375 or 375 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

709 ÷ 334 = 2.0769 or an increase of 108%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,924,902 X 0.00036 = 1,782 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2615 – 1,782 = 833 or 833 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,615 ÷ 1,782 = 1.4276 or an increase of 43%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.