2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 90+ | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 90+ in Newfoundland

1. 570 of 570 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 448 of 448 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 122 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 342 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 570 of 2,498 elderly women aged 90+ living in Newfoundland died from All Causes.

570 ÷ 2,498 = 0.22818 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,806 deaths from All Causes among 26,788 elderly women aged 90+ living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,806 ÷ 26,788 = 0.17941 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,498 X 0.17941 = 448 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

570 – 448 = 122

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

570 ÷ 448 = 1.2718

This reveals 122 lives lost and is 127.18% of what we expected (an increase of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,276 ÷ 17,031 = 0.19236 (5-yr CDR)

2,498(2022 pop) X 0.19236 = 481 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

570 – 481 = 89 or 89 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

570 ÷ 481 = 1.1862 or an increase of 19%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,529 X 0.17941 = 3,504 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3846 – 3,504 = 342 or 342 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,846 ÷ 3,504 = 1.0976 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.