2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Connecticut, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Connecticut

1. 17,094 of 17,094 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 15,261 of 15,261 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,833 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 11,425 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 17,094 of 1,596,052 women of all ages living in Connecticut died from All Causes.

17,094 ÷ 1,596,052 = 0.01071 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 231,602 deaths from All Causes among 24,222,196 women of all ages living in Connecticut in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

231,602 ÷ 24,222,196 = 0.00956 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,596,052 X 0.00956 = 15,261 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

17,094 – 15,261 = 1,833

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

17,094 ÷ 15,261 = 1.1190

This reveals 1,833 lives lost and is 111.90% of what we expected (an increase of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Connecticut in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

114,765 ÷ 10,999,543 = 0.01043 (5-yr CDR)

1,596,052(2022 pop) X 0.01043 = 16,653 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17,094 – 16,653 = 441 or 441 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

17,094 ÷ 16,653 = 1.0255 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Connecticut in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

12,595,595 X 0.00956 = 120,434 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

131859 – 120,434 = 11,425 or 11,425 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

131,859 ÷ 120,434 = 1.0937 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Connecticut in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.