2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | Connecticut, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Connecticut

1. 1,377 of 1,377 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,329 of 1,329 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 48 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 409 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,377 of 124,376 men aged 60-64 living in Connecticut died from All Causes.

1,377 ÷ 124,376 = 0.01107 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,651 deaths from All Causes among 1,277,823 men aged 60-64 living in Connecticut in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,651 ÷ 1,277,823 = 0.01068 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

124,376 X 0.01068 = 1,329 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,377 – 1,329 = 48

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,377 ÷ 1,329 = 1.0354

This reveals 48 lives lost and is 103.54% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Connecticut in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,060 ÷ 814,311 = 0.01113 (5-yr CDR)

124,376(2022 pop) X 0.01113 = 1,384 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,377 – 1,384 = -7 or 7 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,377 ÷ 1,384 = 0.9942 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Connecticut in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

938,687 X 0.01068 = 10,028 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10437 – 10,028 = 409 or 409 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,437 ÷ 10,028 = 1.0398 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Connecticut in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.