2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 40-44 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 40-44 in Florida

1. 1,406 of 1,406 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,263 of 1,263 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 143 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 286 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,406 of 682,240 women aged 40-44 living in Florida died from All Causes.

1,406 ÷ 682,240 = 0.00206 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 18,066 deaths from All Causes among 9,755,402 women aged 40-44 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

18,066 ÷ 9,755,402 = 0.00185 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

682,240 X 0.00185 = 1,263 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,406 – 1,263 = 143

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,406 ÷ 1,263 = 1.1069

This reveals 143 lives lost and is 110.69% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 40-44 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,427 ÷ 4,472,846 = 0.00188 (5-yr CDR)

682,240(2022 pop) X 0.00188 = 1,285 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,406 – 1,285 = 121 or 121 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,406 ÷ 1,285 = 1.0881 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 40-44 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,155,086 X 0.00185 = 9,547 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9833 – 9,547 = 286 or 286 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,833 ÷ 9,547 = 1.0245 or an increase of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 40-44 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.