2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 50-54 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 50-54 in Florida

1. 4,458 of 4,458 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,995 of 4,995 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 537 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,762 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,458 of 704,461 men aged 50-54 living in Florida died from All Causes.

4,458 ÷ 704,461 = 0.00633 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 63,510 deaths from All Causes among 8,957,604 men aged 50-54 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

63,510 ÷ 8,957,604 = 0.00709 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

704,461 X 0.00709 = 4,995 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,458 – 4,995 = -537

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,458 ÷ 4,995 = 0.8913

This reveals 537 lives saved and is 89.13% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

31,838 ÷ 4,804,322 = 0.00663 (5-yr CDR)

704,461(2022 pop) X 0.00663 = 4,668 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,458 – 4,668 = -210 or 210 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,458 ÷ 4,668 = 0.9535 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,508,783 X 0.00709 = 39,058 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

36296 – 39,058 = -2,762 or 2,762 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

36,296 ÷ 39,058 = 0.9280 or a decrease of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.