2022 Deaths – All Causes – Baby Boy – Under 1 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby boys in their first year of life in Georgia

1. 507 of 507 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 563 of 563 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 56 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 733 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby boys in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 507 of 63,936 baby boys in their first year of life living in Georgia died from All Causes.

507 ÷ 63,936 = 0.00793 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 9,032 deaths from All Causes among 1,025,323 baby boys in their first year of life living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,032 ÷ 1,025,323 = 0.00881 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

63,936 X 0.00881 = 563 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

507 – 563 = -56

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

507 ÷ 563 = 0.8992

This reveals 56 lives saved and is 89.92% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,329 ÷ 454,765 = 0.00732 (5-yr CDR)

63,936(2022 pop) X 0.00732 = 468 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

507 – 468 = 39 or 39 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

507 ÷ 468 = 1.0818 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

518,701 X 0.00881 = 4,569 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3836 – 4,569 = -733 or 733 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,836 ÷ 4,569 = 0.8386 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.