2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in Georgia

1. 710 of 710 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 563 of 563 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 147 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 533 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 25% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 710 of 393,099 men aged 20-24 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

710 ÷ 393,099 = 0.00181 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 7,316 deaths from All Causes among 5,108,566 men aged 20-24 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

7,316 ÷ 5,108,566 = 0.00143 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

393,099 X 0.00143 = 563 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

710 – 563 = 147

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

710 ÷ 563 = 1.2524

This reveals 147 lives lost and is 125.24% of what we expected (an increase of 25%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,086 ÷ 2,583,722 = 0.00158 (5-yr CDR)

393,099(2022 pop) X 0.00158 = 622 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

710 – 622 = 88 or 88 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

710 ÷ 622 = 1.1349 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,976,821 X 0.00143 = 4,263 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4796 – 4,263 = 533 or 533 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,796 ÷ 4,263 = 1.1172 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.