2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Georgia

1. 5,116 of 5,116 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,928 of 4,928 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 188 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,640 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,116 of 310,241 men aged 60-64 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

5,116 ÷ 310,241 = 0.01649 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 47,278 deaths from All Causes among 2,976,261 men aged 60-64 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

47,278 ÷ 2,976,261 = 0.01589 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

310,241 X 0.01589 = 4,928 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,116 – 4,928 = 188

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,116 ÷ 4,928 = 1.0375

This reveals 188 lives lost and is 103.75% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

32,926 ÷ 1,981,363 = 0.01662 (5-yr CDR)

310,241(2022 pop) X 0.01662 = 5,156 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,116 – 5,156 = -40 or 40 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,116 ÷ 5,156 = 0.9917 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,291,604 X 0.01589 = 36,402 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

38042 – 36,402 = 1,640 or 1,640 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

38,042 ÷ 36,402 = 1.0444 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.