2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80+ | Idaho, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in Idaho

1. 7,388 of 7,388 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 7,459 of 7,459 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 71 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,783 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 7,388 of 36,729 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Idaho died from All Causes.

7,388 ÷ 36,729 = 0.20115 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 75,322 deaths from All Causes among 370,893 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Idaho in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

75,322 ÷ 370,893 = 0.20308 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

36,729 X 0.20308 = 7,459 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

7,388 – 7,459 = -71

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

7,388 ÷ 7,459 = 0.9904

This reveals 71 lives saved and is 99.04% of what we expected (a decrease of 1%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Idaho in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

45,842 ÷ 216,599 = 0.21164 (5-yr CDR)

36,729(2022 pop) X 0.21164 = 7,773 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7,388 – 7,773 = -385 or 385 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

7,388 ÷ 7,773 = 0.9504 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Idaho in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

253,328 X 0.20308 = 51,447 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

53230 – 51,447 = 1,783 or 1,783 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

53,230 ÷ 51,447 = 1.0346 or an increase of 3%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Idaho in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.