2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 30-34 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 30-34 in Indiana

1. 338 of 338 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 83% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 182 of 182 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 156 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 817 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 83% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 338 of 223,747 women aged 30-34 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

338 ÷ 223,747 = 0.00151 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,510 deaths from All Causes among 3,085,116 women aged 30-34 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,510 ÷ 3,085,116 = 0.00081 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

223,747 X 0.00081 = 182 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

338 – 182 = 156

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

338 ÷ 182 = 1.8342

This reveals 156 lives lost and is 183.42% of what we expected (an increase of 83%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,871 ÷ 1,486,606 = 0.00126 (5-yr CDR)

223,747(2022 pop) X 0.00126 = 282 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

338 – 282 = 56 or 56 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

338 ÷ 282 = 1.1908 or an increase of 19%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,710,353 X 0.00081 = 1,392 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2209 – 1,392 = 817 or 817 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,209 ÷ 1,392 = 1.5682 or an increase of 57%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.