2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 45-49 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 45-49 in Indiana

1. 1,190 of 1,190 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 31% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 903 of 903 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 287 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 851 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 31% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,190 of 199,776 men aged 45-49 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

1,190 ÷ 199,776 = 0.00596 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 15,526 deaths from All Causes among 3,434,954 men aged 45-49 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

15,526 ÷ 3,434,954 = 0.00452 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

199,776 X 0.00452 = 903 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,190 – 903 = 287

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,190 ÷ 903 = 1.3149

This reveals 287 lives lost and is 131.49% of what we expected (an increase of 31%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

7,115 ÷ 1,449,415 = 0.00491 (5-yr CDR)

199,776(2022 pop) X 0.00491 = 981 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,190 – 981 = 209 or 209 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,190 ÷ 981 = 1.2110 or an increase of 21%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,649,191 X 0.00452 = 7,454 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8305 – 7,454 = 851 or 851 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

8,305 ÷ 7,454 = 1.1117 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.