2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 60-64 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in Kansas

1. 974 of 974 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 784 of 784 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 190 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 694 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 974 of 93,623 women aged 60-64 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

974 ÷ 93,623 = 0.01040 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 8,413 deaths from All Causes among 1,004,579 women aged 60-64 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,413 ÷ 1,004,579 = 0.00837 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

93,623 X 0.00837 = 784 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

974 – 784 = 190

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

974 ÷ 784 = 1.2408

This reveals 190 lives lost and is 124.08% of what we expected (an increase of 24%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,922 ÷ 646,971 = 0.00915 (5-yr CDR)

93,623(2022 pop) X 0.00915 = 857 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

974 – 857 = 117 or 117 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

974 ÷ 857 = 1.1353 or an increase of 14%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

740,594 X 0.00837 = 6,202 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6896 – 6,202 = 694 or 694 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,896 ÷ 6,202 = 1.1105 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.