2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Louisiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Louisiana

1. 588 of 588 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 53% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 382 of 382 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 206 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 833 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 53% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 588 of 156,224 men aged 30-34 living in Louisiana died from All Causes.

588 ÷ 156,224 = 0.00376 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,380 deaths from All Causes among 2,201,099 men aged 30-34 living in Louisiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,380 ÷ 2,201,099 = 0.00244 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

156,224 X 0.00244 = 382 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

588 – 382 = 206

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

588 ÷ 382 = 1.5336

This reveals 206 lives lost and is 153.36% of what we expected (an increase of 53%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,404 ÷ 1,136,093 = 0.00300 (5-yr CDR)

156,224(2022 pop) X 0.00300 = 468 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

588 – 468 = 120 or 120 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

588 ÷ 468 = 1.2520 or an increase of 25%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,292,317 X 0.00244 = 3,159 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3992 – 3,159 = 833 or 833 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,992 ÷ 3,159 = 1.2587 or an increase of 26%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Louisiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.