2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | Louisiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Louisiana

1. 3,218 of 3,218 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,094 of 3,094 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 124 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 109 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,218 of 123,904 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Louisiana died from All Causes.

3,218 ÷ 123,904 = 0.02597 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 29,510 deaths from All Causes among 1,181,618 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Louisiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

29,510 ÷ 1,181,618 = 0.02497 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

123,904 X 0.02497 = 3,094 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,218 – 3,094 = 124

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,218 ÷ 3,094 = 1.0395

This reveals 124 lives lost and is 103.95% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

20,039 ÷ 802,988 = 0.02496 (5-yr CDR)

123,904(2022 pop) X 0.02496 = 3,092 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,218 – 3,092 = 126 or 126 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,218 ÷ 3,092 = 1.0403 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

926,892 X 0.02497 = 23,148 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

23257 – 23,148 = 109 or 109 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

23,257 ÷ 23,148 = 1.0043 or an increase of 0%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Louisiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.