2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Maine, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Maine

1. 17,333 of 17,333 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 13,883 of 13,883 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 3,450 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 18,990 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 25% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 17,333 of 1,199,518 individuals of all ages living in Maine died from All Causes.

17,333 ÷ 1,199,518 = 0.01445 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 190,498 deaths from All Causes among 16,459,247 individuals of all ages living in Maine in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

190,498 ÷ 16,459,247 = 0.01157 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,199,518 X 0.01157 = 13,883 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

17,333 – 13,883 = 3,450

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

17,333 ÷ 13,883 = 1.2474

This reveals 3,450 lives lost and is 124.74% of what we expected (an increase of 25%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Maine in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

105,936 ÷ 7,810,327 = 0.01356 (5-yr CDR)

1,199,518(2022 pop) X 0.01356 = 16,270 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17,333 – 16,270 = 1,063 or 1,063 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

17,333 ÷ 16,270 = 1.0646 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Maine in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,009,845 X 0.01157 = 104,279 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

123269 – 104,279 = 18,990 or 18,990 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

123,269 ÷ 104,279 = 1.1811 or an increase of 18%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Maine in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.