2022 Deaths – All Causes – Baby Girl – Under 1 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby girls in their first year of life in United States

1. 9,182 of 9,182 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10,799 of 10,799 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,617 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 13,236 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby girls in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 9,182 of 1,800,246 baby girls in their first year of life living in United States died from All Causes.

9,182 ÷ 1,800,246 = 0.00510 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 175,541 deaths from All Causes among 29,263,757 baby girls in their first year of life living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

175,541 ÷ 29,263,757 = 0.00600 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,800,246 X 0.00600 = 10,799 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

9,182 – 10,799 = -1,617

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

9,182 ÷ 10,799 = 0.8489

This reveals 1,617 lives saved and is 84.89% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

66,988 ÷ 13,104,214 = 0.00511 (5-yr CDR)

1,800,246(2022 pop) X 0.00511 = 9,203 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9,182 – 9,203 = -21 or 21 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

9,182 ÷ 9,203 = 0.9958 or a decrease of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

14,904,460 X 0.00600 = 89,406 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

76170 – 89,406 = -13,236 or 13,236 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

76,170 ÷ 89,406 = 0.8505 or a decrease of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.