2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 10-14 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for boys aged 10-14 in United States

1. 921 of 2,164 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 42.56% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 948 of 2,084 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 27 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 80 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 687 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 989 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many boys aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 921 of 10,701,853 boys aged 10-14 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

921 ÷ 10,701,853 = 0.00009 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,213 deaths from Unknown Causes among 160,410,069 boys aged 10-14 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,213 ÷ 160,410,069 = 0.00009 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,701,853 X 0.00009 = 948 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

921 – 948 = -27

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

921 ÷ 948 = 0.8728

This reveals 27 lives saved and is 87.28% of what we expected (a decrease of 13%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,942 ÷ 74,504,484 = 0.00008 (5-yr CDR)

10,701,853(2022 pop) X 0.00008 = 854 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

921 – 854 = 67 or 67 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

921 ÷ 854 = 0.9588 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

85,206,337 X 0.00009 = 7,550 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6863 – 7,550 = -687 or 687 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,863 ÷ 7,550 = 0.8169 or a decrease of 18%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.