2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in United States

1. 2,280 of 22,477 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 10.14% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,345 of 15,820 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 65 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6,657 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,353 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 37,171 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,280 of 11,352,742 men aged 25-29 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

2,280 ÷ 11,352,742 = 0.00020 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 31,718 deaths from Unknown Causes among 153,565,151 men aged 25-29 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

31,718 ÷ 153,565,151 = 0.00021 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,352,742 X 0.00021 = 2,345 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,280 – 2,345 = -65

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,280 ÷ 2,345 = 0.9274

This reveals 65 lives saved and is 92.74% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

15,694 ÷ 82,220,695 = 0.00019 (5-yr CDR)

11,352,742(2022 pop) X 0.00019 = 2,167 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,280 – 2,167 = 113 or 113 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,280 ÷ 2,167 = 0.9998 or a decrease of 0%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

93,573,437 X 0.00021 = 19,327 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17974 – 19,327 = -1,353 or 1,353 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

17,974 ÷ 19,327 = 0.8870 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.