2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 80-84 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 80-84 in United States

1. 4,215 of 209,298 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.01% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,073 of 221,102 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 858 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 11,804 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,397 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 137,288 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,215 of 2,825,159 elderly men aged 80-84 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

4,215 ÷ 2,825,159 = 0.00149 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 58,814 deaths from Unknown Causes among 32,750,625 elderly men aged 80-84 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

58,814 ÷ 32,750,625 = 0.00180 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,825,159 X 0.00180 = 5,073 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,215 – 5,073 = -858

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,215 ÷ 5,073 = 0.8262

This reveals 858 lives saved and is 82.62% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

27,949 ÷ 18,090,764 = 0.00154 (5-yr CDR)

2,825,159(2022 pop) X 0.00154 = 4,365 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,215 – 4,365 = -150 or 150 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,215 ÷ 4,365 = 0.9595 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

20,915,923 X 0.00180 = 37,561 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

32164 – 37,561 = -5,397 or 5,397 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

32,164 ÷ 37,561 = 0.8516 or a decrease of 15%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.