2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 25-29 | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Alberta

1. 283 of 283 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 99% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 141 of 141 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 142 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 698 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 99% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 283 of 158,507 men aged 25-29 living in Alberta died from All Causes.

283 ÷ 158,507 = 0.00179 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,831 deaths from All Causes among 2,062,418 men aged 25-29 living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,831 ÷ 2,062,418 = 0.00089 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

158,507 X 0.00089 = 141 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

283 – 141 = 142

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

283 ÷ 141 = 1.9887

This reveals 142 lives lost and is 198.87% of what we expected (an increase of 99%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,595 ÷ 1,170,597 = 0.00136 (5-yr CDR)

158,507(2022 pop) X 0.00136 = 216 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

283 – 216 = 67 or 67 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

283 ÷ 216 = 1.3008 or an increase of 30%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,329,104 X 0.00089 = 1,180 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1878 – 1,180 = 698 or 698 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,878 ÷ 1,180 = 1.5738 or an increase of 57%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.