2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals all ages in Alberta

1. 32,823 of 32,823 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 26,219 of 26,219 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6,604 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 20,008 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 25% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 32,823 of 4,543,111 individuals all ages living in Alberta died from All Causes.

32,823 ÷ 4,543,111 = 0.00722 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 286,259 deaths from All Causes among 49,600,790 individuals all ages living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

286,259 ÷ 49,600,790 = 0.00577 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,543,111 X 0.00577 = 26,219 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

32,823 – 26,219 = 6,604

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

32,823 ÷ 26,219 = 1.2497

This reveals 6,604 lives lost and is 124.97% of what we expected (an increase of 25%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

187,136 ÷ 30,102,958 = 0.00622 (5-yr CDR)

4,543,111(2022 pop) X 0.00622 = 28,242 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

32,823 – 28,242 = 4,581 or 4,581 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

32,823 ÷ 28,242 = 1.1603 or an increase of 16%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

34,646,069 X 0.00577 = 199,951 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

219959 – 199,951 = 20,008 or 20,008 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

219,959 ÷ 199,951 = 1.0982 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals all ages living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.