2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in Alberta
1,481 of 1,481 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
1,384 of 1,384 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
97 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
74 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 55-59 | Alberta, Canada
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,481 of 273,025 people aged 55-59 living in Alberta died from All Causes.
1,481 ÷ 273,025 = 0.00542 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Alberta male aged 55-59 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2001
137,636
768
768
|2002
149,997
855
855
|2003
160,638
855
855
|2004
170,022
894
894
|2005
180,866
966
966
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2006
191,353
980
980
|2007
196,989
1,026
1,026
|2008
204,052
1,097
1,097
|2009
215,003
1,031
1,031
|2010
226,615
1,076
1,076
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2011
239,203
1,189
1,189
|2012
250,904
1,187
1,187
|2013
261,924
1,236
1,236
|2014
269,839
1,316
1,316
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
2,855,041
14,476
14,476
The table shows there were a total of 14,476 deaths from All Causes among 2,855,041 people aged 55-59 living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
14,476 ÷ 2,855,041 = 0.00507 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
273,025 X 0.00507 = 1,384 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
1,481 – 1,384 = 97
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
1,481 ÷ 1,384 = 1.0677
This reveals 97 lives lost and is 106.77% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
281,783
1,347
1,347
|2018
284,370
1,401
1,401
|2019
286,096
1,329
1,329
|2020
284,173
1,477
1,477
|2021
278,165
1,628
1,628
Total:
1,968,770
9,812
9,812
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
9,812 ÷ 1,968,770 = 0.00498 (5-yr CDR)
273,025(2022 pop) X 0.00498 = 1,361 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
1,481 – 1,361 = 120 or 120 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
1,481 ÷ 1,361 = 1.0862 or an increase of 9%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
2,241,795 X 0.00507 = 11,367 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
11293 – 11,367 = -74 or 74 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
11,293 ÷ 11,367 = 0.9916 or a decrease of 1%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
275,345
1,285
1,285
|2016
278,838
1,345
1,345
|2017
281,783
1,347
1,347
|2018
284,370
1,401
1,401
|2019
286,096
1,329
1,329
|2020
284,173
1,477
1,477
|2021
278,165
1,628
1,628
|2022
273,025
1,481
1,481
Total:
2,241,795
11,293
11,293
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
32,823 of the 32,823 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Alberta in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 25% compared to Old Normal (2001-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 4,543,111 individuals would have predicted 26,219 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 6,604 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alberta in 2022.
To date, 20,008 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Alberta.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 6,604 lives and the 8-year loss of 20,008 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 0 of the 32,823 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 0-4, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 257,511 pre-schoolers aged 0-4, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 0 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 0 lives saved from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 0 / 32,823
The next 36 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.97% of the 36 total deaths in this group.
This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 284,463 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 33 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 196 deaths from All Causes represent 62 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 more and the 8 year total of 196 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 36 / 32,823
The next 47 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.98% of the 47 total deaths in this group.
This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 286,800 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 38 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 9 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 269 deaths from All Causes represent 10 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 9 more and the 8 year total of 269 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 83 / 32,823
The next 151 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 151 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 268,547 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 135 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 16 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 933 deaths from All Causes represent 88 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 16 more and the 8 year total of 933 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 234 / 32,823
The next 265 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 265 total deaths in this group.
This is up 38% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 281,118 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 190 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 75 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 1,795 deaths from All Causes represent 296 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 75 more and the 8 year total of 1,795 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 499 / 32,823
The next 392 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 392 total deaths in this group.
This is up 96% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 307,763 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 197 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 195 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 2,592 deaths from All Causes represent 939 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 195 more and the 8 year total of 2,592 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 891 / 32,823
The next 523 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 523 total deaths in this group.
This is up 101% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 353,839 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 256 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 267 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 3,188 deaths from All Causes represent 1,134 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 267 more and the 8 year total of 3,188 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,414 / 32,823
The next 644 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 644 total deaths in this group.
This is up 75% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 369,891 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 365 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 279 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 3,599 deaths from All Causes represent 884 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 279 more and the 8 year total of 3,599 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,058 / 32,823
The next 665 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 665 total deaths in this group.
This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 340,630 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 487 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 178 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 3,942 deaths from All Causes represent 404 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 178 more and the 8 year total of 3,942 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,723 / 32,823
The next 765 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 765 total deaths in this group.
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 298,702 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 658 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 107 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 5,005 deaths from All Causes represent 7 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 107 more and the 8 year total of 5,005 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,488 / 32,823
The next 964 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 964 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 274,963 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 913 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 51 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 7,369 deaths from All Causes represent 18 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 51 more and the 8 year total of 7,369 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,452 / 32,823
The next 1,481 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,481 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 273,025 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 1,384 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 97 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 11,293 deaths from All Causes represent 74 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 97 more and the 8 year total of 11,293 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,933 / 32,823
The next 2,300 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,300 total deaths in this group.
This is up 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 273,346 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 2,175 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 125 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 15,160 deaths from All Causes represent 760 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 125 more and the 8 year total of 15,160 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,233 / 32,823
The next 2,774 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,774 total deaths in this group.
This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 233,404 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 2,951 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 177 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 17,999 deaths from All Causes represent 1,867 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 177 fewer and the 8 year total of 17,999 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 11,007 / 32,823
The next 3,321 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,321 total deaths in this group.
This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 172,273 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 3,548 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 227 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 20,656 deaths from All Causes represent 2,868 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 227 fewer and the 8 year total of 20,656 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 14,328 / 32,823
The next 3,694 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,694 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 118,545 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 3,951 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 257 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 22,967 deaths from All Causes represent 2,844 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 257 fewer and the 8 year total of 22,967 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,022 / 32,823
The next 3,882 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,882 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,812 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 4,211 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 329 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 26,828 deaths from All Causes represent 3,111 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 329 fewer and the 8 year total of 26,828 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 21,904 / 32,823
The next 3,882 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,882 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,812 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 4,211 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 329 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 26,828 deaths from All Causes represent 3,111 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 329 fewer and the 8 year total of 26,828 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25,786 / 32,823
The next 4,435 of the 32,823 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 85-89, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,435 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 45,118 elderly men and women aged 85-89, would have predicted 4,494 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 59 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 30,738 deaths from All Causes represent 3,082 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 85-89 over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 59 fewer and the 8 year total of 30,738 fewer individual aged 85-89 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 30,221 / 32,823
The next 6,169 of the 32,823 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 90+, accounting for 100.00% of the 6,169 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 28,361 would have predicted 5,668 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 501 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in 2022.
Overall, 40,740 deaths from All Causes represent 445 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 90+ over the first 8 years of Alberta's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 40,740 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 36,390 / 32,823*
* Alberta does not report the deaths of 3,567 babies in it's death totals