2022 Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – 90+ | Alberta, Canada

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  1. Total (6,169)

    2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 90+ in Alberta

    1. 6,169 of 6,169 total deaths were from All Causes
    2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
    3. This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
    4. 5,668 of 5,668 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
    5. 501 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
    6. 445 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
    1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

    Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

    • “How many elderly men and women aged 90+ were there?” and
    • “How many of them died from All Causes?”

    The following 2 charts provide this information:

    Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 90+ | Alberta, Canada

    Graph showing Deaths - All Causes - Elderly Men And Women - Aged 90+ | Alberta, Canada

    Population – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 90+ – [2001-2022] | Alberta, Canada

    Graph showing Population - Elderly Men And Women - Aged 90+ - [2001-2022] | Alberta, Canada

    From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,169 of 28,361 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta died from All Causes.

    6,169 ÷ 28,361 = 0.21752 (2022 CDR)

    We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

    Deaths/100,000 elderly men and women 90+ from All Causes

    Graph showing Deaths/100,000 elderly men and women 90+ from All Causes
    Old Normal (2001-2014) Alberta elderly men and women aged 90+ All Causes
    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2001
    10,586
    2,219
    2,219
    |2002
    11,149
    2,434
    2,434
    |2003
    11,829
    2,523
    2,523
    |2004
    12,568
    2,568
    2,568
    |2005
    13,470
    2,693
    2,693
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2006
    14,190
    2,846
    2,846
    |2007
    14,819
    2,930
    2,930
    |2008
    15,295
    3,056
    3,056
    |2009
    15,918
    3,224
    3,224
    |2010
    17,084
    3,332
    3,332
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2011
    18,138
    3,580
    3,580
    |2012
    19,207
    3,679
    3,679
    |2013
    20,149
    3,903
    3,903
    |2014
    21,251
    4,108
    4,108
     
     
     
     

     
     
     
     

    Cumulative:
    Population
    Deaths
    All Causes

    Totals:
    215,653
    43,095
    43,095

    The table shows there were a total of 43,095 deaths from All Causes among 215,653 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

    43,095 ÷ 215,653 = 0.19983 (Old Normal CDR)

    We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

    2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

    28,361 X 0.19983 = 5,668 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

    6,1695,668 = 501

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

    6,169 ÷ 5,668 = 1.0884

    This reveals 501 lives lost and is 108.84% of what we expected (an increase of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

    5yr CDR (2017-2021)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2017
    24,348
    4,799
    4,799
    |2018
    25,343
    4,858
    4,858
    |2019
    26,641
    5,029
    5,029
    |2020
    27,903
    5,573
    5,573
    |2021
    28,374
    5,793
    5,793
    Total:
    177,734
    34,571
    34,571

    This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

    34,571 ÷ 177,734 = 0.19451 (5-yr CDR)

    28,361(2022 pop) X 0.19451 = 5,516 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    6,1695,516 = 653 or 653 lives lost

    Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

    6,169 ÷ 5,516 = 1.1182 or an increase of 12%

    for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

    Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

    Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

    New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

    206,095 X 0.19983 = 41,185 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    4074041,185 = -445 or 445 lives saved

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

    40,740 ÷ 41,185 = 0.9891 or a decrease of 1%

    in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.

    New Normal (2015-2022)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2015
    22,006
    4,111
    4,111
    |2016
    23,119
    4,408
    4,408
    |2017
    24,348
    4,799
    4,799
    |2018
    25,343
    4,858
    4,858
    |2019
    26,641
    5,029
    5,029
    |2020
    27,903
    5,573
    5,573
    |2021
    28,374
    5,793
    5,793
    |2022
    28,361
    6,169
    6,169
    Total:
    206,095
    40,740
    40,740

    The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly

    The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.

    Return to the top of the page to select another age category.