2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Manitoba, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Manitoba

1. 6,449 of 6,449 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,872 of 5,872 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 577 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 593 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,449 of 704,350 men of all ages living in Manitoba died from All Causes.

6,449 ÷ 704,350 = 0.00916 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 69,754 deaths from All Causes among 8,367,227 men of all ages living in Manitoba in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

69,754 ÷ 8,367,227 = 0.00834 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

704,350 X 0.00834 = 5,872 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,449 – 5,872 = 577

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,449 ÷ 5,872 = 1.0970

This reveals 577 lives lost and is 109.70% of what we expected (an increase of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

39,285 ÷ 4,710,482 = 0.00834 (5-yr CDR)

704,350(2022 pop) X 0.00834 = 5,874 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,449 – 5,874 = 575 or 575 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,449 ÷ 5,874 = 1.0965 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,414,832 X 0.00834 = 45,141 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

45734 – 45,141 = 593 or 593 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

45,734 ÷ 45,141 = 1.0119 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Manitoba in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.