2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Manitoba
62 of 62 total deaths were from All Causes
99.98% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
60 of 60 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
2 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
54 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 62 of 85,298 teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba died from All Causes.
62 ÷ 85,298 = 0.00073 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Manitoba teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2001
82,629
59
59
|2002
83,112
62
62
|2003
83,619
56
56
|2004
84,459
56
56
|2005
85,815
67
67
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2006
87,106
69
69
|2007
87,401
51
51
|2008
87,543
51
51
|2009
88,015
59
59
|2010
87,994
66
66
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2011
87,996
71
71
|2012
87,546
57
57
|2013
86,465
61
61
|2014
85,391
61
61
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
1,205,091
846
846
The table shows there were a total of 846 deaths from All Causes among 1,205,091 teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
846 ÷ 1,205,091 = 0.00070 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
85,298 X 0.00070 = 60 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
62 – 60 = 2
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
62 ÷ 60 = 1.0208
This reveals 2 lives lost and is 102.08% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
87,401
51
51
|2018
88,067
53
53
|2019
87,883
59
59
|2020
85,822
53
53
|2021
84,012
59
59
Total:
605,087
369
369
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
369 ÷ 605,087 = 0.00061 (5-yr CDR)
85,298(2022 pop) X 0.00061 = 52 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
62 – 52 = 10 or 10 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
62 ÷ 52 = 1.1727 or an increase of 17%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
690,385 X 0.00070 = 485 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
431 – 485 = -54 or 54 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
431 ÷ 485 = 0.8768 or a decrease of 12%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
85,420
42
42
|2016
86,482
52
52
|2017
87,401
51
51
|2018
88,067
53
53
|2019
87,883
59
59
|2020
85,822
53
53
|2021
84,012
59
59
|2022
85,298
62
62
Total:
690,385
431
431
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
12,477 of the 12,477 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal (2001-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 1,409,223 individuals would have predicted 11,686 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 791 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022.
To date, 177 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Manitoba.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 791 lives and the 8-year loss of 177 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 137 of the 12,477 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 0-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 137 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 81,465 pre-schoolers aged 0-4, would have predicted 130 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 7 more deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 1,041 deaths from All Causes represent 33 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 7 more live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 1041 lives saved from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 137 / 12,477
The next 14 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.93% of the 14 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 90,768 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 13 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 94 deaths from All Causes represent 8 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 more and the 8 year total of 94 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 151 / 12,477
The next 22 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.95% of the 22 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 89,672 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 23 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 152 deaths from All Causes represent 21 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 152 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 173 / 12,477
The next 62 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.98% of the 62 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 85,298 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 60 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 431 deaths from All Causes represent 54 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 more and the 8 year total of 431 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 235 / 12,477
The next 114 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.99% of the 114 total deaths in this group.
This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 105,574 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 88 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 26 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 753 deaths from All Causes represent 111 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 26 more and the 8 year total of 753 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 349 / 12,477
The next 100 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.99% of the 100 total deaths in this group.
This is up 34% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 98,415 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 73 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 27 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 769 deaths from All Causes represent 195 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 27 more and the 8 year total of 769 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 449 / 12,477
The next 128 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.99% of the 128 total deaths in this group.
This is up 33% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 99,921 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 95 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 33 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 873 deaths from All Causes represent 145 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 33 more and the 8 year total of 873 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 577 / 12,477
The next 160 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.99% of the 160 total deaths in this group.
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 98,916 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 123 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 37 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 1,023 deaths from All Causes represent 117 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 37 more and the 8 year total of 1,023 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 737 / 12,477
The next 176 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 99.99% of the 176 total deaths in this group.
This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 90,602 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 158 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 18 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 1,224 deaths from All Causes represent 35 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 18 more and the 8 year total of 1,224 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 913 / 12,477
The next 212 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 212 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 83,236 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 217 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 1,641 deaths from All Causes represent 76 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,641 fewer individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,125 / 12,477
The next 314 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 314 total deaths in this group.
This is down 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 80,397 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 314 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 2,715 deaths from All Causes represent 65 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,715 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,439 / 12,477
The next 545 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 545 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 84,712 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 516 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 29 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 4,223 deaths from All Causes represent 86 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 29 more and the 8 year total of 4,223 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,984 / 12,477
The next 764 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 764 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 85,875 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 832 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 68 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 5,793 deaths from All Causes represent 480 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 68 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,793 fewer individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,748 / 12,477
The next 992 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 992 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,807 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 1,145 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 153 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 7,240 deaths from All Causes represent 1,114 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 153 fewer and the 8 year total of 7,240 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,740 / 12,477
The next 1,345 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,345 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 59,875 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 1,451 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 106 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 8,940 deaths from All Causes represent 1,263 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 106 fewer and the 8 year total of 8,940 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,085 / 12,477
The next 1,372 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,372 total deaths in this group.
This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 42,935 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 1,644 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 272 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 9,654 deaths from All Causes represent 1,552 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 272 fewer and the 8 year total of 9,654 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,457 / 12,477
The next 1,566 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,566 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 27,595 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,700 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 134 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 11,722 deaths from All Causes represent 907 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 134 fewer and the 8 year total of 11,722 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,023 / 12,477
The next 1,566 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,566 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 27,595 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,700 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 134 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 11,722 deaths from All Causes represent 907 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 134 fewer and the 8 year total of 11,722 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,589 / 12,477
The next 1,814 of the 12,477 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 85-89, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,814 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 16,882 elderly men and women aged 85-89, would have predicted 1,739 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 75 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 13,446 deaths from All Causes represent 628 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 85-89 over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 75 more and the 8 year total of 13,446 more individual aged 85-89 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 11,403 / 12,477
The next 2,640 of the 12,477 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 90+, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,640 total deaths in this group.
This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 12,278 would have predicted 2,118 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 522 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Manitoba in 2022.
Overall, 18,379 deaths from All Causes represent 1,654 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 90+ over the first 8 years of Manitoba's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 18,379 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 14,043 / 12,477*
* Manitoba does not report the deaths of 1,566 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Teen-aged - Aged 15-19 - [2001-2022] | Manitoba, Canada](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/canada/manitoba/2022/all/Both Sexes/15-19-pop.png)
