2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Quebec

1. 38,781 of 38,781 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 32,598 of 32,598 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6,183 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 24,937 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 19% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 38,781 of 4,336,247 men of all ages living in Quebec died from All Causes.

38,781 ÷ 4,336,247 = 0.00894 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 431,684 deaths from All Causes among 57,423,951 men of all ages living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

431,684 ÷ 57,423,951 = 0.00752 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,336,247 X 0.00752 = 32,598 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

38,781 – 32,598 = 6,183

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

38,781 ÷ 32,598 = 1.1881

This reveals 6,183 lives lost and is 118.81% of what we expected (an increase of 19%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

238,706 ÷ 29,258,784 = 0.00816 (5-yr CDR)

4,336,247(2022 pop) X 0.00816 = 35,377 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

38,781 – 35,377 = 3,404 or 3,404 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

38,781 ÷ 35,377 = 1.0949 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

33,595,031 X 0.00752 = 252,550 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

277487 – 252,550 = 24,937 or 24,937 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

277,487 ÷ 252,550 = 1.0973 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.