2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Quebec

1. 78,084 of 78,084 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 64,859 of 64,859 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13,225 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 53,525 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 78,084 of 8,673,184 individuals of all ages living in Quebec died from All Causes.

78,084 ÷ 8,673,184 = 0.00900 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 867,286 deaths from All Causes among 115,976,865 individuals of all ages living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

867,286 ÷ 115,976,865 = 0.00748 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

8,673,184 X 0.00748 = 64,859 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

78,084 – 64,859 = 13,225

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

78,084 ÷ 64,859 = 1.2023

This reveals 13,225 lives lost and is 120.23% of what we expected (an increase of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

479,166 ÷ 58,686,863 = 0.00816 (5-yr CDR)

8,673,184(2022 pop) X 0.00816 = 70,815 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

78,084 – 70,815 = 7,269 or 7,269 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

78,084 ÷ 70,815 = 1.1013 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

67,360,047 X 0.00748 = 503,725 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

557250 – 503,725 = 53,525 or 53,525 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

557,250 ÷ 503,725 = 1.1048 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.