2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Nova Scotia
19 of 19 total deaths were from All Causes
99.95% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
24 of 24 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5 fewer deaths from All Causes in 2022.
19 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 | Nova Scotia, Canada
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 19 of 50,547 teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.
19 ÷ 50,547 = 0.00038 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Nova Scotia teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2001
62,803
22
22
|2002
63,101
32
32
|2003
63,094
24
24
|2004
62,976
36
36
|2005
63,250
30
30
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2006
63,628
31
31
|2007
62,929
33
33
|2008
62,287
31
31
|2009
61,074
28
28
|2010
59,427
24
24
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2011
57,930
31
31
|2012
56,538
30
30
|2013
54,730
21
21
|2014
53,282
37
37
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
847,049
410
410
The table shows there were a total of 410 deaths from All Causes among 847,049 teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
410 ÷ 847,049 = 0.00048 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
50,547 X 0.00048 = 24 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
19 – 24 = -5
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
19 ÷ 24 = 0.7609
This reveals 5 lives saved and is 76.09% of what we expected (a decrease of 24%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
51,857
18
18
|2018
51,474
24
24
|2019
51,449
25
25
|2020
50,871
25
25
|2021
49,269
19
19
Total:
359,482
160
160
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
160 ÷ 359,482 = 0.00045 (5-yr CDR)
50,547(2022 pop) X 0.00045 = 22 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
19 – 22 = -3 or 3 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
19 ÷ 22 = 0.8260 or a decrease of 17%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
410,029 X 0.00048 = 198 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
179 – 198 = -19 or 19 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
179 ÷ 198 = 0.8837 or a decrease of 12%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
52,503
19
19
|2016
52,059
30
30
|2017
51,857
18
18
|2018
51,474
24
24
|2019
51,449
25
25
|2020
50,871
25
25
|2021
49,269
19
19
|2022
50,547
19
19
Total:
410,029
179
179
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
10,780 of the 10,780 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal (2001-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 1,019,725 individuals would have predicted 8,972 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 1,808 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
To date, 9,396 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Nova Scotia.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 1,808 lives and the 8-year loss of 9,396 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 32 of the 10,780 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 0-4, accounting for 99.97% of the 32 total deaths in this group.
This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 41,575 pre-schoolers aged 0-4, would have predicted 42 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 10 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 310 deaths from All Causes represent 27 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 10 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 310 lives saved from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 32 / 10,780
The next 3 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.67% of the 3 total deaths in this group.
This is down 45% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 47,500 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 5 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 29 deaths from All Causes represent 10 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 fewer and the 8 year total of 29 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 35 / 10,780
The next 6 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.83% of the 6 total deaths in this group.
This is down 20% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 50,171 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 7 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 50 deaths from All Causes represent 3 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 50 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 41 / 10,780
The next 19 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.95% of the 19 total deaths in this group.
This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 50,547 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 24 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 179 deaths from All Causes represent 19 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 fewer and the 8 year total of 179 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 60 / 10,780
The next 27 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.96% of the 27 total deaths in this group.
This is down 32% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 67,816 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 39 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 12 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 252 deaths from All Causes represent 32 lives saved among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 12 fewer and the 8 year total of 252 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 87 / 10,780
The next 36 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.97% of the 36 total deaths in this group.
This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 70,629 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 42 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 6 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 314 deaths from All Causes represent 19 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 6 fewer and the 8 year total of 314 fewer individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 123 / 10,780
The next 31 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.97% of the 31 total deaths in this group.
This is down 33% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 67,409 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 45 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 14 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 293 deaths from All Causes represent 27 lives saved among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 14 fewer and the 8 year total of 293 fewer individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 154 / 10,780
The next 50 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.98% of the 50 total deaths in this group.
This is down 25% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 63,734 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 66 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 16 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 502 deaths from All Causes represent 24 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 16 fewer and the 8 year total of 502 fewer individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 204 / 10,780
The next 54 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 99.98% of the 54 total deaths in this group.
This is down 43% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 59,989 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 94 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 40 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 592 deaths from All Causes represent 131 lives saved among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 40 fewer and the 8 year total of 592 fewer individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 258 / 10,780
The next 137 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 99.99% of the 137 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 60,128 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 143 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 6 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 1,119 deaths from All Causes represent 63 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 6 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,119 fewer individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 395 / 10,780
The next 239 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 239 total deaths in this group.
This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 64,465 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 244 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 2,059 deaths from All Causes represent 70 lives saved among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,059 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 634 / 10,780
The next 452 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 452 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 74,810 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 445 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 7 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 3,565 deaths from All Causes represent 132 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 7 more and the 8 year total of 3,565 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,086 / 10,780
The next 695 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 695 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 78,225 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 729 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 34 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 5,225 deaths from All Causes represent 292 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 34 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,225 fewer individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,781 / 10,780
The next 999 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 999 total deaths in this group.
This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 70,292 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 1,063 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 64 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 7,285 deaths from All Causes represent 613 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 64 fewer and the 8 year total of 7,285 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,780 / 10,780
The next 1,356 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,356 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 59,090 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 1,462 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 106 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 8,943 deaths from All Causes represent 1,450 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 106 fewer and the 8 year total of 8,943 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,136 / 10,780
The next 1,552 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,552 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 43,355 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 1,786 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 234 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 10,178 deaths from All Causes represent 1,582 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 234 fewer and the 8 year total of 10,178 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,688 / 10,780
The next 1,575 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,575 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 26,234 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,745 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 170 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 11,284 deaths from All Causes represent 1,161 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 170 fewer and the 8 year total of 11,284 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,263 / 10,780
The next 1,575 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,575 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 26,234 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,745 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 170 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 11,284 deaths from All Causes represent 1,161 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 170 fewer and the 8 year total of 11,284 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,838 / 10,780
The next 1,679 of the 10,780 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 85-89, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,679 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 14,824 elderly men and women aged 85-89, would have predicted 1,565 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 114 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 11,769 deaths from All Causes represent 72 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 85-89 over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 114 more and the 8 year total of 11,769 more individual aged 85-89 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 10,517 / 10,780
The next 1,838 of the 10,780 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 90+, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,838 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 8,932 would have predicted 2,106 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 268 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in 2022.
Overall, 13,638 deaths from All Causes represent 2,408 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 90+ over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 13,638 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 12,355 / 10,780*
* Nova Scotia does not report the deaths of 1,575 babies in it's death totals