2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in United States

1. 22,477 of 22,477 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 41% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 15,820 of 15,820 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6,657 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 37,171 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 41% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 22,477 of 11,352,742 men aged 25-29 living in United States died from All Causes.

22,477 ÷ 11,352,742 = 0.00198 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 213,991 deaths from All Causes among 153,565,151 men aged 25-29 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

213,991 ÷ 153,565,151 = 0.00139 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,352,742 X 0.00139 = 15,820 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

22,477 – 15,820 = 6,657

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

22,477 ÷ 15,820 = 1.4107

This reveals 6,657 lives lost and is 141.07% of what we expected (an increase of 41%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

145,087 ÷ 82,220,695 = 0.00176 (5-yr CDR)

11,352,742(2022 pop) X 0.00176 = 20,033 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

22,477 – 20,033 = 2,444 or 2,444 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

22,477 ÷ 20,033 = 1.1157 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

93,573,437 X 0.00139 = 130,393 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

167564 – 130,393 = 37,171 or 37,171 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

167,564 ÷ 130,393 = 1.2759 or an increase of 28%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.