2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 30-34 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 30-34 in United States

1. 13,040 of 13,040 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 52% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 8,490 of 8,490 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,550 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 23,937 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 52% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 13,040 of 11,471,316 women aged 30-34 living in United States died from All Causes.

13,040 ÷ 11,471,316 = 0.00114 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 111,978 deaths from All Causes among 151,303,811 women aged 30-34 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

111,978 ÷ 151,303,811 = 0.00074 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,471,316 X 0.00074 = 8,490 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

13,040 – 8,490 = 4,550

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

13,040 ÷ 8,490 = 1.5155

This reveals 4,550 lives lost and is 151.55% of what we expected (an increase of 52%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

76,525 ÷ 77,205,401 = 0.00099 (5-yr CDR)

11,471,316(2022 pop) X 0.00099 = 11,370 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13,040 – 11,370 = 1,670 or 1,670 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

13,040 ÷ 11,370 = 1.1354 or an increase of 14%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

88,676,717 X 0.00074 = 65,628 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

89565 – 65,628 = 23,937 or 23,937 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

89,565 ÷ 65,628 = 1.3465 or an increase of 35%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.