2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in United States

1. 43,074 of 43,074 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 62% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 26,292 of 26,292 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 16,782 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 82,457 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 62% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 43,074 of 23,308,136 people aged 30-34 living in United States died from All Causes.

43,074 ÷ 23,308,136 = 0.00185 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 342,647 deaths from All Causes among 303,759,122 people aged 30-34 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

342,647 ÷ 303,759,122 = 0.00113 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

23,308,136 X 0.00113 = 26,292 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

43,074 – 26,292 = 16,782

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

43,074 ÷ 26,292 = 1.6239

This reveals 16,782 lives lost and is 162.39% of what we expected (an increase of 62%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

241,582 ÷ 155,942,573 = 0.00155 (5-yr CDR)

23,308,136(2022 pop) X 0.00155 = 36,108 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

43,074 – 36,108 = 6,966 or 6,966 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

43,074 ÷ 36,108 = 1.1853 or an increase of 19%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

179,250,709 X 0.00113 = 202,199 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

284656 – 202,199 = 82,457 or 82,457 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

284,656 ÷ 202,199 = 1.3954 or an increase of 40%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.