2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Alabama, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Alabama

1. 32,601 of 32,601 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 25,794 of 25,794 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6,807 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 40,002 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 32,601 of 2,436,188 men of all ages living in Alabama died from All Causes.

32,601 ÷ 2,436,188 = 0.01338 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 355,001 deaths from All Causes among 33,528,436 men of all ages living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

355,001 ÷ 33,528,436 = 0.01059 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,436,188 X 0.01059 = 25,794 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

32,601 – 25,794 = 6,807

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

32,601 ÷ 25,794 = 1.2627

This reveals 6,807 lives lost and is 126.27% of what we expected (an increase of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

207,045 ÷ 16,419,371 = 0.01261 (5-yr CDR)

2,436,188(2022 pop) X 0.01261 = 30,720 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

32,601 – 30,720 = 1,881 or 1,881 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

32,601 ÷ 30,720 = 1.0604 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

18,855,559 X 0.01059 = 199,644 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

239646 – 199,644 = 40,002 or 40,002 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

239,646 ÷ 199,644 = 1.1992 or an increase of 20%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.