2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Alabama, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Alabama

1. 62,294 of 62,294 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 51,536 of 51,536 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 10,758 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 61,512 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 62,294 of 4,980,925 individuals of all ages living in Alabama died from All Causes.

62,294 ÷ 4,980,925 = 0.01251 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 711,629 deaths from All Causes among 68,779,102 individuals of all ages living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

711,629 ÷ 68,779,102 = 0.01035 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,980,925 X 0.01035 = 51,536 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

62,294 – 51,536 = 10,758

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

62,294 ÷ 51,536 = 1.2076

This reveals 10,758 lives lost and is 120.76% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

399,740 ÷ 33,729,651 = 0.01185 (5-yr CDR)

4,980,925(2022 pop) X 0.01185 = 59,030 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

62,294 – 59,030 = 3,264 or 3,264 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

62,294 ÷ 59,030 = 1.0544 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

38,710,576 X 0.01035 = 400,522 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

462034 – 400,522 = 61,512 or 61,512 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

462,034 ÷ 400,522 = 1.1525 or an increase of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.