2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Alabama, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Alabama

1. 29,693 of 29,693 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 25,745 of 25,745 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 3,948 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 21,516 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 29,693 of 2,544,737 women of all ages living in Alabama died from All Causes.

29,693 ÷ 2,544,737 = 0.01167 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 356,628 deaths from All Causes among 35,250,666 women of all ages living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

356,628 ÷ 35,250,666 = 0.01012 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,544,737 X 0.01012 = 25,745 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

29,693 – 25,745 = 3,948

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

29,693 ÷ 25,745 = 1.1522

This reveals 3,948 lives lost and is 115.22% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

192,695 ÷ 17,310,280 = 0.01113 (5-yr CDR)

2,544,737(2022 pop) X 0.01113 = 28,328 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

29,693 – 28,328 = 1,365 or 1,365 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

29,693 ÷ 28,328 = 1.0473 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,855,017 X 0.01012 = 200,872 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

222388 – 200,872 = 21,516 or 21,516 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

222,388 ÷ 200,872 = 1.1060 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.