2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Arkansas
940 of 940 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
807 of 807 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
133 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
417 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 45-49 | Arkansas, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 940 of 175,422 people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas died from All Causes.
940 ÷ 175,422 = 0.00536 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Arkansas male aged 45-49 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
181,913
756
756
|2001
186,969
769
769
|2002
191,230
838
838
|2003
194,293
929
929
|2004
196,117
956
956
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
199,102
892
892
|2006
202,213
937
937
|2007
202,539
988
988
|2008
204,422
978
978
|2009
206,174
973
973
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
205,544
961
961
|2011
199,722
928
928
|2012
193,981
897
897
|2013
187,492
848
848
|2014
182,402
848
848
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
2,934,113
13,498
13,498
The table shows there were a total of 13,498 deaths from All Causes among 2,934,113 people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
13,498 ÷ 2,934,113 = 0.00460 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
175,422 X 0.00460 = 807 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
940 – 807 = 133
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
940 ÷ 807 = 1.1623
This reveals 133 lives lost and is 116.23% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
184,419
852
852
|2018
184,172
811
811
|2019
182,264
760
760
|2020
179,715
967
967
|2021
176,327
1,096
1,096
Total:
1,271,207
6,132
6,132
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
6,132 ÷ 1,271,207 = 0.00482 (5-yr CDR)
175,422(2022 pop) X 0.00482 = 846 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
940 – 846 = 94 or 94 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
940 ÷ 846 = 1.1086 or an increase of 11%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
1,446,629 X 0.00460 = 6,655 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
7072 – 6,655 = 417 or 417 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
7,072 ÷ 6,655 = 1.0604 or an increase of 6%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
181,108
843
843
|2016
183,202
803
803
|2017
184,419
852
852
|2018
184,172
811
811
|2019
182,264
760
760
|2020
179,715
967
967
|2021
176,327
1,096
1,096
|2022
175,422
940
940
Total:
1,446,629
7,072
7,072
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
37,854 of the 37,854 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Arkansas in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 22% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 2,987,320 individuals would have predicted 30,885 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 6,969 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Arkansas in 2022.
To date, 33,780 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Arkansas.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 6,969 lives and the 8-year loss of 33,780 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 270 of the 37,854 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 270 total deaths in this group.
This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 35,980 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 287 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 17 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 2,286 deaths from All Causes represent 54 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 17 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 2286 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 270 / 37,854
The next 60 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.98% of the 60 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 144,409 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 62 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 430 deaths from All Causes represent 87 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 fewer and the 8 year total of 430 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 330 / 37,854
The next 38 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.97% of the 38 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 191,924 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 37 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 244 deaths from All Causes represent 39 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 more and the 8 year total of 244 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 368 / 37,854
The next 51 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.98% of the 51 total deaths in this group.
This is up 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 200,043 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 46 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 351 deaths from All Causes represent 18 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 more and the 8 year total of 351 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 419 / 37,854
The next 176 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 176 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 203,124 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 165 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 11 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 1,205 deaths from All Causes represent 90 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 11 more and the 8 year total of 1,205 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 595 / 37,854
The next 274 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 274 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 211,870 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 260 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 14 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 1,989 deaths from All Causes represent 11 lives saved among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 14 more and the 8 year total of 1,989 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 869 / 37,854
The next 293 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 293 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 194,823 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 271 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 22 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 2,391 deaths from All Causes represent 156 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 22 more and the 8 year total of 2,391 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,162 / 37,854
The next 428 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 428 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 202,275 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 336 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 92 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 3,062 deaths from All Causes represent 484 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 92 more and the 8 year total of 3,062 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,590 / 37,854
The next 545 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 545 total deaths in this group.
This is up 34% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 191,231 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 405 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 140 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 4,033 deaths from All Causes represent 821 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 140 more and the 8 year total of 4,033 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,135 / 37,854
The next 755 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 755 total deaths in this group.
This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 190,587 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 590 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 165 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 5,155 deaths from All Causes represent 665 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 165 more and the 8 year total of 5,155 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,890 / 37,854
The next 940 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 940 total deaths in this group.
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 175,422 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 807 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 133 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 7,072 deaths from All Causes represent 417 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 133 more and the 8 year total of 7,072 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,830 / 37,854
The next 1,406 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,406 total deaths in this group.
This is up 14% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 183,281 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 1,233 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 173 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 10,879 deaths from All Causes represent 821 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 173 more and the 8 year total of 10,879 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,236 / 37,854
The next 2,067 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,067 total deaths in this group.
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 186,653 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 1,783 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 284 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 17,103 deaths from All Causes represent 2,158 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 284 more and the 8 year total of 17,103 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,303 / 37,854
The next 3,187 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,187 total deaths in this group.
This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 191,659 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 2,615 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 572 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 23,119 deaths from All Causes represent 2,785 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 572 more and the 8 year total of 23,119 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 10,490 / 37,854
The next 3,889 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,889 total deaths in this group.
This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 172,328 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 3,383 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 506 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 27,391 deaths from All Causes represent 1,458 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 506 more and the 8 year total of 27,391 more individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 14,379 / 37,854
The next 4,519 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,519 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 142,386 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 4,145 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 374 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 32,198 deaths from All Causes represent 1,052 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 374 more and the 8 year total of 32,198 more individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,898 / 37,854
The next 5,158 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 5,158 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 104,685 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 4,724 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 434 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 34,375 deaths from All Causes represent 151 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 434 more and the 8 year total of 34,375 more individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 24,056 / 37,854
The next 4,937 of the 37,854 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,937 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 64,640 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 4,703 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 234 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 35,449 deaths from All Causes represent 434 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 234 more and the 8 year total of 35,449 more individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 28,993 / 37,854
The next 13,798 of the 37,854 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 13,798 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 64,640 would have predicted 13,588 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 210 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Arkansas in 2022.
Overall, 103,921 deaths from All Causes represent 252 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Arkansas's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 103,921 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 42,791 / 37,854*
* Arkansas does not report the deaths of 4,937 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Male - Aged 45-49 - [2000-2022] | Arkansas, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/arkansas/2022/all/Both Sexes/45-49-pop.png)
