2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in California

1. 167,239 of 167,239 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 128,873 of 128,873 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 38,366 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 175,774 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 30% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 167,239 of 19,267,572 men of all ages living in California died from All Causes.

167,239 ÷ 19,267,572 = 0.00868 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,797,716 deaths from All Causes among 268,773,399 men of all ages living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,797,716 ÷ 268,773,399 = 0.00669 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,267,572 X 0.00669 = 128,873 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

167,239 – 128,873 = 38,366

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

167,239 ÷ 128,873 = 1.2958

This reveals 38,366 lives lost and is 129.58% of what we expected (an increase of 30%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,041,721 ÷ 135,202,313 = 0.00770 (5-yr CDR)

19,267,572(2022 pop) X 0.00770 = 148,455 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

167,239 – 148,455 = 18,784 or 18,784 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

167,239 ÷ 148,455 = 1.1251 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

154,469,885 X 0.00669 = 1,033,186 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1208960 – 1,033,186 = 175,774 or 175,774 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,208,960 ÷ 1,033,186 = 1.1684 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.