2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 65-69 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 65-69 in Colorado

1. 1,787 of 1,787 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,749 of 1,749 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 38 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,264 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,787 of 160,309 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

1,787 ÷ 160,309 = 0.01115 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,013 deaths from All Causes among 1,284,332 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,013 ÷ 1,284,332 = 0.01091 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

160,309 X 0.01091 = 1,749 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,787 – 1,749 = 38

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,787 ÷ 1,749 = 1.0207

This reveals 38 lives lost and is 102.07% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,106 ÷ 1,045,589 = 0.00967 (5-yr CDR)

160,309(2022 pop) X 0.00967 = 1,549 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,787 – 1,549 = 238 or 238 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,787 ÷ 1,549 = 1.1521 or an increase of 15%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,205,898 X 0.01091 = 13,157 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11893 – 13,157 = -1,264 or 1,264 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

11,893 ÷ 13,157 = 0.9031 or a decrease of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.