2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 70-74 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 70-74 in District Of Columbia

1. 272 of 272 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 294 of 294 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 22 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 265 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 272 of 12,947 elderly women aged 70-74 living in District Of Columbia died from All Causes.

272 ÷ 12,947 = 0.02101 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,104 deaths from All Causes among 136,848 elderly women aged 70-74 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,104 ÷ 136,848 = 0.02268 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

12,947 X 0.02268 = 294 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

272 – 294 = -22

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

272 ÷ 294 = 0.9258

This reveals 22 lives saved and is 92.58% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,644 ÷ 83,188 = 0.01976 (5-yr CDR)

12,947(2022 pop) X 0.01976 = 256 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

272 – 256 = 16 or 16 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

272 ÷ 256 = 1.0625 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

96,135 X 0.02268 = 2,181 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1916 – 2,181 = -265 or 265 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,916 ÷ 2,181 = 0.8783 or a decrease of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.